"It's just a verbal agreement. What's more, under this situation, Liu Ji also has to think about the people around him and the Jiangnan scholars." Qiao Yingjia looked at it with open eyes and shook his head.
"It can't be completely regarded as a Jiangnan scholar. Liu Ji's control and influence over the Jiangnan scholars is not that strong. Firstly, he is unwilling to do so. Secondly, he is just thinking about the people around him. People like Li Banghua, Zhu Guozhen, and Zuo Guangdou I'm afraid they don't want him to retreat." Han Xu pondered: "But as long as Liuji is unwilling to retreat, Dongxian won't have much hope unless we support him here."
Sun Juxiang sneered: "Why should we support him? There has never been a precedent for Huguang scholars to be the chief minister. It has always been a rotation between us Northern scholars and Jiangnan scholars. He asked us to support him, so how can they support you? hansome?"
If the Huguang scholars support Qiao Yingjia, then Gu Bingqian will not be able to compete with Qiao Yingjia. The Beidi scholars plus the Huguang scholars can easily get more than 21 votes.
Even if Qiao Yingjia cannot get the support of all the scholars in the North, Guan Yingzhen's influence among the scholars in Huguang is still very strong. Once Guan Yingzhen decides to support Qiao Yingjia, he will get the full support of the scholars in Huguang and can still surpass Twenty-one votes.
"I'm afraid that the scholars in Huguang will not agree. Unless we fully support Dongxian first, Dongxian will eventually lose again, and then we will have a chance." Han Xu said thoughtfully: "But if we fully support Dongxian, Dongxian will gain another With Ziying's support, he is sure of victory, how can Rujun still have a chance?"
This is a paradox. Only when the Northern scholars support Guan Yingzhen can the Huguang scholars agree to support Qiao Yingjia. But with the support of the Northern scholars, Guan Yingzhen can win. Qiao Yingjia has the support of the Huguang scholars. What's the point?
This becomes an unsolvable problem.
If the northern scholars cannot fully support Guan Yingzhen, Guan Yingzhen will basically have no chance, unless Guan Yingzhen can draw a few votes from the Jiangnan scholars by his own ability, and then get Feng Ziying's full support, but even so Guan Yingzhen It was still not enough to get twenty-one votes, and a few more votes had to be poached from the northern scholars.
This possibility cannot be said to be non-existent, but it is relatively small.
Poaching corners from Jiangnan scholars and Beidi scholars to canvass votes will definitely have some effect.
But with the Huguang scholars’ own six votes and the five votes from Feng Ziying’s side, he could get eleven votes.
The other ten votes are a bit more difficult.
From the Jiangnan scholars, Guan Yingzhen might get three or four votes, but from the Northern scholars, Guan Yingzhen would not get more than three votes, which means that Guan Yingzhen could get at most eighteen votes.
If the vote is slightly higher, nineteen votes is the limit. Guan Yingzhen cannot get more than nineteen votes by himself.
Similarly, this is also a difficult problem for Qiao Yingjia.
Without the support of scholars in Huguang, the scholars in Beidi got about 14 votes. If Feng Ziying gave full support, she could only get 19 votes.
Qiao Yingjia thought that he had achieved a breakthrough if he could get one vote from the Jiangnan scholars, but even with twenty votes, it would be difficult to be elected as the first assistant. Gu Bingqian took advantage of the current first assistant and could get twenty votes, but he and Guan Ying It doesn't work, you have to get 21 votes to win.
And there is another hidden worry here. Even among the Beidi scholars, Qiao Yingjia is not 100% sure.
Cao Yubian, the minister of Dali Temple, and Yuan Keli, the right minister of the Ministry of War, have always had a bad relationship with him, and there may even be one or two people who have some disagreements with him. If something goes wrong, let alone vote against it, these people are just looking for an excuse. Failure to show up during the voting will be regarded as an abstention, and no matter how hard he tries, it will be in vain.
The same possibility also exists for Gu Bingqian. Gu Bingqian is also not sure of getting the full support of Jiangnan scholars, and it is equally possible to miss one or two votes at a critical moment.
After all, there is still a large number of variable votes among the forty ministers. For Gu Bingqian and Qiao Yingjia, both of them have two to four risky votes in their basic boards, which means that , among these risky votes, there is a possibility of abstaining or even switching to another company.
The camp where Guan Yingzhen and Feng Ziying belong does not have this problem.
This has become a huge variable. Whether it is Gu Bingqian, Guan Yingzhen or even himself, they are all aware of the variables. They all hope that the variables that exist within the other party will become beneficial to themselves, and they also try their best to stabilize the internal discord within themselves. stabilizing factors.
This requires that in the next few months, everyone needs to show their talents and how to do their work to ensure that the other party's unfavorable factors become beneficial to themselves, and their own risks are eliminated in advance.
“If Ru Jun and Dong Xian form such a stalemate and it’s difficult for them to get through, it will be six thousand dollars cheaper. He can easily..."
Sun Juxiang paused before he finished speaking. He seemed to feel that what he said was a little inaccurate and hesitated for a moment.
"Even if Ru Jun and Dong Xian can't pass half of the vote, they may not be able to get six lucky votes. He may not be able to pass half of it, and he may not be able to get twenty votes. There are many Jiangnan scholars who are duplicitous when the wind blows. , there are many people who look down on him..."
"If those who adapt to the situation and double-dealer are sure that Rujun and Dongxian are hopeless, they will definitely vote for Liuji. But Wu Daonan, who looks down on Gu Bingqian or follows Huang Ruliang closely, will probably not vote for Liuji." Han Xu Shaking his head, "But even if Liu Ji cannot get more than 20 votes, he can still serve as the chief minister of the caretaker cabinet in the name of the current chief minister. But it is difficult to predict how long this care period will be. Maybe one month, maybe three Months, maybe a year, even three years..."
Han Xu and Sun Ju looked at each other.
But this is indeed the rule. If the meeting of ministers cannot select a candidate with more than half of the votes, the chief minister of the caretaker cabinet may remain in office.
However, the authority of the chief minister and deputy minister of the caretaker cabinet will be greatly reduced, and many policy agendas will be difficult to implement, and it will also be greatly affected at the local level.
It is definitely not in everyone's interest to have a caretaker cabinet for a long time. No one wants this situation to continue forever. However, when several parties are evenly matched and no one is willing to let the other party get what it wants, it is difficult to break this deadlock.
Even though the Northern Scholars are the most powerful, they are not big enough to be their own entity. If they can't get a few votes from other factions, they won't be able to win half of the vote.
“Have you ever asked for advice from Ziying?” Han Xu couldn’t help but ask Qiao Yingjia.