Chapter 1271 A prairie fire
While the four Alexeis were wandering around the Rhine City, Ernst was paying attention to every move in Russia.
Director of the National Defense and Security Bureau Mo Linhui reported: "Today, the situation in Russia is accelerating and deteriorating. The wave of opposition to the Tsar is growing, including capitalists, people, and even some nobles. More and more people have begun to question Nicholas. The ability of La II.”
"Before the war began, Russia's domestic contradictions had already intensified to a certain extent. However, with the outbreak of World War I, these contradictions not only did not shift, but intensified. At the end of last year, Russia's frontline military failure further stimulated the instability within the Russian regime. ”
Ernst asked: “What happens to the current surveillance of the Russian Labor Party?”
Morin said: "At the beginning of the year, they organized many strikes in Russian cities such as St. Petersburg, but they were suppressed by the Nicholas II government. However, through our analysis, their activities will become more and more frequent."
"Now the Russians are just a pile of dry firewood, and any spark can ignite it, and these Labor Party members are the ones who set the fire. Their actions have greatly damaged the prestige of Nicholas II, especially the recent strike in St. Petersburg sports."
Just imagine, the current development of the European war can be said to be related to Russia's future national destiny. According to common sense, Russia should unite at this time to get through this dangerous period.
But the funny thing is that the Russians think differently from Nicholas II. Of course, their attitudes must be somewhat different.
For example, capitalists don’t think there is anything wrong with Nicholas II launching a war. The problem is that Nicholas II and the Russian aristocrats are too weak and have poor military capabilities. So their idea is that even if they put a dog on it, the situation on the front line will not turn into a war. To this extent today.
Then who can carry the current banner of Russia! That is of course them. Only if they come to power and replace those idle nobles can Russia win on the battlefield.
As for the grassroots people, their thoughts were different from those of the capitalists and nobles. Their purpose in opposing Nicholas II was to stop the war. After all, they were the ones who actually went to the battlefield to serve as cannon fodder.
So far, Russia has suffered more than 10 million casualties on the front line, and nearly 500,000 square kilometers of territory have been lost. Most of Ukraine and Poland, all of Moldova, and parts of the Baltic Sea region have been captured by the Allies.
Morin said: "Now the Russian regime is in turmoil, and Russia is facing a choice, but no matter what, Nicholas II is facing a dilemma."
"If the war ceases, the territory will inevitably be lost. Nicholas II cannot bear this responsibility, but if the war continues, Russia's war-weariness has made the Russian people at the bottom no longer want to continue to support the war."
"At the same time, Russia's material situation is also very critical. At present, the Russian government's pockets are cleaner than its face."
Although East Africa has a large trade relationship with Russia, the current trade between East Africa and Russia has become a situation of real money.
Unless Russia takes out its last gold reserves, East Africa now only recognizes gold, or other valuable cash items, or even talents, technology, etc.
After all, according to Ernst's prediction, the Russian government will most likely not survive, so the Russian government naturally has no credibility in East Africa.
Not to mention East Africa, the debt that Russia owes to the French will take no one knows how many years to repay it, and this is based on the basic conditions for the continued existence of the current Russian government in the future.
Ernst's judgment is naturally that the Russian government will most likely not survive unless the Russian capitalist government comes to power, but Ernst is also not optimistic about the Russian capitalist class.
This is not a matter for Russia alone, but for the whole of Europe. Now the Labor Party is not like the later generations who fought independently and focused on national interests, but an international organization throughout Europe.
Their members are not only capable, but also not afraid of death. Russia is the new center of the Labor Party. Coupled with the poor living environment in Russia, the Labor Party is simply at home in Russia. Of course, it is not impossible to kill the Labor Party, but the prerequisite is that other imperialist countries outside Russia and the Russian upper-class ruling class unite to eliminate this organization that has expanded and spread like wildfire in Russia.
However, this is precisely impossible to accomplish. Among other things, it is impossible for Britain, France and Germany and Austria to reconcile. If they do not stop the war, the "international community" will naturally not be able to reach a unified opinion.
Among them, Germany and Austria will be happy with the Labor Party's activities in Russia. After all, if the Labor Party wants to come to power, it cannot lose its main card of "armistice".
This is not to say that Germany and Austria do not hate the Labor Party, but they must ensure that Europe has formed a new order led by the two countries before directing other countries to destroy this terrible organization in Russia.
All in all, European countries are definitely unable to reach a unified opinion at this stage. Although East Africa and the United States are powerful, they are far away from the European continent and cannot interfere with the development of events in Russia.
Under this circumstance, the probability that the Soviet Russian regime will be born like in its previous life is more than 95%, so Ernst cannot place his hope on European countries to destroy this new Russian regime that may break out of its shell at any time.
Ernst asked: "What are the current trends in the Ottoman Empire? Are they still not moving? Now that Russia has completely declined, can they still sit still?"
Morin said: "Your Majesty, the Ottoman Empire is currently making its final war mobilization. If our intelligence predictions are not wrong, within three months, the Ottoman Empire will inevitably launch infantry against Russia."
Ernst knocked on the table and said: "This means that within three months, the Bosporus and the Dardanelles may be cut off by the Ottoman Empire at any time, and our trade with Russia will basically be cut off." it's over!"
The Black Sea Straits, namely the Bosporus Strait and the Dardanelles Strait, have not been interrupted from the beginning of the war to the present. The main reason is that the Ottoman Empire has not yet participated in the war.
East Africa is the main supplier behind the Allies, so East African ships have always been doing Russian business. Both Britain and the Ottoman Empire acquiesced in the trade between East Africa and Russia.
However, once the Ottoman Empire joined the "just" siege against Russia, it would be different.
Therefore, Ernst judged: "Our trade with Russia is about to end. In this case, we must try our best to take out more real money from the Russians' pockets in the next two or three months."
"You must also be active and try your best to bring technology and talents from Russia and Russia's occupied areas to our East Africa. The current chaos in Europe is a great opportunity for us to fish in troubled waters."
Because the Russian war frontline failed suddenly last year, many industries and personnel in places with good economic conditions in Russia, such as Poland and Ukraine, did not withdraw to the rear. These materials and personnel also fell into the hands of the Allies.
East Africa happened to have bargaining chips with the Allies, which meant that East Africa could easily exchange some Russian industrial equipment and technical personnel into its own hands through transactions with the Allies.
Although it is not easy for the technicians and scientific researchers who were kidnapped to East Africa to return home, Ernst believes that after the new Russian regime is established, they will gradually regard East Africa as their new home.
However, Ernst still said: "As much as possible, focus on the Ukrainian region or the Russians in Poland. As for Poland, it depends on their wishes."
The Polish people have a strong desire to regain their country. After all, without a country, overseas Poles will be even more united. Even if they recruit some Polish talents, Ernst believes that if Poland regains its country, they will be more united. More willing to return to China for development.
(End of chapter)